4 Oct 2016

Indo-Pak strife

The Indo-Pak strife over Kashmir blew up as Indian forces conducted a punitive strike against camps in Pakistan suspected of harbouring terrorist groups responsible for the deaths of 18 Indian troops in recent raids. This is unlikely to escalate beyond vacant threats, such as from a Pakistani politician threatening to use nuclear weapons in retaliation. It is worth remembering that that by maintaining a high expectation of a security threat from India, the Pakistani military is able to keep a strong hold over the government. At the same time, being in the process of a major long-term re-equipment programme, India is not really prepared for a major escalation.

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